The current chart is pretty straightforward. Here’s our old friend GLD in a 3-month view.
(credit Fidelity.com)
It’s pretty obvious where resistance was, and where support now is. The gap in between (in case you’re wondering) is traditionally termed “resistance” whether we’re looking at a gap up (this case) or a gap down. Dropping down through such gaps is almost always a bad thing for bulls…
As for the news, well, there’s plenty on both sides. Economically nothing really changed over the weekend so all the reasons to be distressed are still there.
Geopolitical news continued to click along. China extended an olive branch to the US while tensions with Iran heightened when Iran announced it had captured alleged spies and executed some.
Amidst all this gold looks to be starting the week right where it ended off – slightly weak in trading, but not dropping any more in premarket. We’re looking for gold to hold in the 1420 area until there’s a reason for it to rise. If no reason emerges over the next 3 days, traders’ attention spans will expire and we’ll likely see a gradual drift down to 1400.
Signed,
The Gold Enthusiast
DISCLAIMER: The author is long the gold sector via small positions in NUGT, JNUG, a few junior miners, and covered calls on part of the NUGT position. He is watching for trades either way in NUGT, but has no plans to trade the other shares in the next 48 hours.
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