With all the back and forth in recent months due to global trade issues and generalized economic uncertainty, one analyst believes that the resulting indicated interest rate cuts will be beneficial for equities and emerging markets.
Tavistock sees the Fed making moves gradually to cut rates, but definitely prepared to take action as required.
“I think interest rate differentials explain a lot of the foreign exchange movement. And I think the US has further to cut then what the ECB can do. There’s talk that the ECB might move 10 basis points. I don’t think the Fed will move 50 next month; they’ll probably move 25 and then wait and see. But if there’s any softening of the data, you know the Fed will be on in easing mode,” he added.
For investors looking for the continued upside in emerging market assets, whether driven by a weakening USD or continued developments around trade, the Direxion MSCI Emerging Over Developed Markets ETF (NYSEArca: RWED) offers them the ability to benefit not only from emerging markets potentially performing well, but from emerging markets outperforming developed markets.
Conversely, if investors believe that resolutions to the big issues impacting sentiment today are in motion, the Direxion MSCI Developed Over Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: RWDE) provides a means to not only see developed markets perform well, but a way to access a convergence/catch-up in performance of DM relative to EM, a spread that has clearly widened over the past 6 months.