Home Economy What gives? Canada’s job market off to its best start in almost 40 years

What gives? Canada’s job market off to its best start in almost 40 years

by Bloomberg News

Canada’s economy posted its second-straight surprise job gain, making the labour market a lone bright spot for an economy in the middle of a sharp slowdown.

Employment increased by 55,900 in February, all full-time jobs, Statistics Canada said Friday in Ottawa, building on a 66,800 gain in January. The two-month gain is the best start to a year since 1981. Canada’s economy has added 290,000 jobs since August, the largest six-month increase since the early 2000s.

The much-stronger-than-expected labour market is the only thing giving policy makers comfort amid a run of bleak data in recent months. It’s a key reason why the Bank of Canada is sticking to its belief the economy will rebound and interest rates will likely head higher.

The employment gains in recent months come amid an otherwise dismal performance for the economy recently, amid stresses in the oil sector, weakening housing markets, volatility in global financial markets and waning consumer and business confidence. Economists were forecasting a gain of just 1,200 in February.

Last week, Canada’s statistics agency reported the nation’s economy grew by just 0.1 per cent in the final three months of 2018. Most economists expect the sluggishness to persist in the first six months of this year, before growth picks up steam later in 2019.

The jobs increase largely reflects higher labor force numbers, rather than falling unemployment, due to rising participation rates and accelerating population growth over the past couple of years. Much of the increase in Canada’s population comes from international working-age migrants. In an economy with more than half a million vacant jobs, many seem to be finding work.

The labour force increased by 55,100 in February, and is up by 159,000 so far this year. Canada’s jobless rate was unchanged at 5.8 per cent, even with the employment gains, because more people were looking for work.

The breakdown in the numbers was also positive, with 67,400 new full-time jobs offsetting a loss of 11,600 part-time positions.

Even the wage picture is looking better. Annual average hourly gains accelerated to 2.3 per cent in February from 2 per cent a month earlier, with pay for permanent employees up 2.2 per cent, from 1.8 per cent previously.

One weakness was total hours worked, which fell 0.1 per cent in February from a year earlier.

With assistance from Erik Hertzberg

Bloomberg.com

Source link

Related Articles

Leave a Comment

This website uses cookies to improve your experience. We'll assume you're ok with this, but you can opt-out if you wish. Accept Read More

Privacy & Cookies Policy